Syracuse vs Louisville 10/29/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Syracuse winning 51% of simulations, and Louisville 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Syracuse commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. Louisville wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Antwon Bailey is averaging 104 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Dominique Brown is averaging 44 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LOU -3.5

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